Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 12.608285 14.056612 15.620467 17.437272 19.493282 21.751671 24.425479
2025-07-27 10.602202 12.637336 15.004202 17.972189 21.611091 25.948131 31.540070
2025-08-03 8.904000 11.218974 14.083817 17.917091 22.952941 29.399571 38.367700
2025-08-10 7.594595 10.029754 13.207152 17.703669 23.978704 32.537111 45.286227
2025-08-17 6.579757 9.048358 12.420404 17.432308 24.810864 35.462190 52.346940
2025-08-24 5.811789 8.282222 11.796423 17.253766 25.685656 38.504881 60.028652
2025-08-31 5.224746 7.687734 11.321857 17.195221 26.681461 41.813743 68.629749
2025-09-07 4.853517 7.359574 11.187141 17.612681 28.442263 46.541104 80.356065
2025-09-14 4.421735 6.883477 10.759027 17.487415 29.266134 49.793135 90.033081
2025-09-21 4.003697 6.380912 10.226496 17.108529 29.579415 52.163294 98.449779
2025-09-28 3.685443 6.006125 9.858636 16.956376 30.253508 55.248725 108.761781
2025-10-05 3.534508 5.894453 9.918673 17.561105 32.388334 61.382225 126.419020
2025-10-12 3.378656 5.764819 9.943840 18.125056 34.567432 68.036093 146.790736
2025-10-19 3.190613 5.560128 9.813937 18.380829 36.177912 73.805517 166.488144
2025-10-26 2.958725 5.253744 9.465740 18.166726 36.790673 77.548683 182.241680
2025-11-02 2.740887 4.953136 9.098116 17.868231 37.179536 80.856386 197.668059
2025-11-09 2.543423 4.673197 8.742666 17.551664 37.481895 84.011424 213.429459
2025-11-16 2.378069 4.440533 8.457526 17.349609 38.012968 87.796010 231.801256
2025-11-23 2.241775 4.253024 8.244837 17.279028 38.838709 92.443667 253.766273
2025-11-30 2.164044 4.175733 8.249817 17.692419 40.884494 100.559388 288.125524
2025-12-07 2.042578 3.998676 8.029051 17.563186 41.568444 105.201273 312.961695
2025-12-14 1.909569 3.786912 7.715290 17.180746 41.554238 107.936189 332.362921
2025-12-21 1.806657 3.630370 7.507320 17.026972 42.113996 112.383468 358.761183